Occupancy climbs to 95.8 percent; new-lease rents are up 3 percent annually
RICHARDSON, Texas (June 27, 2019) – U.S. apartment demand spiked during the second quarter of 2019, according to real estate technology and analytics firm RealPage, Inc. (NASDAQ: RP). Net move-ins totaling 155,515 units in the April-through-June time frame topped second quarter 2018 product absorption by 11 percent, climbing to a five-year high.
“Apartment leasing activity accelerates during the warmer weather months, and demand is proving especially strong in this year’s primary leasing season,” according to RealPage chief economist Greg Willett. “Solid economic growth is encouraging new household formation, and rentals are capturing a sizable share of the resulting housing demand. At the same time, loss of existing renters to home purchase remains limited relative to historical levels.”
|Apartment Demand Leaders in 2Q 2019|
|Metro||Quarterly Demand||Quarterly Completions|
|Dallas-Fort Worth, TX||10,443 units||6,441 units|
|Chicago, IL||7,418 units||2,617 units|
|Houston, TX||6,969 units||2,373 units|
|New York, NY||6,759 units||2,768 units|
|Washington, DC||6,008 units||2,787 units|
|Seattle, WA||4,419 units||2,300 units|
|Atlanta, GA||4,278 units||2,729 units|
|Denver, CO||4,221 units||2,577 units|
|Phoenix, AZ||4,171 units||2,691 units|
|Charlotte, NC||3,724 units||2,357 units|
|Source: RealPage, Inc.|
The fast-growing Dallas-Fort Worth area led the nation in apartment leasing activity during the second quarter. Renters snapped up 10,443 units. Net move-ins also reached robust levels of more than 6,000 units in Chicago, Houston, New York and Washington, D.C.
With demand proving so strong in the second quarter, occupancy tightened despite the delivery of quite a bit of new product. Occupancy climbed to 95.8 percent in second quarter, up from 95.4 percent a year earlier.
Rents for new leases increased 1.8 percent during the second quarter, which normally is when pricing moves most rapidly during the course of the year. Rents are up 3 percent from year-ago levels, reaching an average of $1,390 per month.
Among the country’s large metros, local rent growth leaders are Las Vegas and Phoenix, with each area posting annual price jumps of more than 8 percent. At the next tier of performance, rent growth comes in at roughly 4 percent to 5 percent in a long list of markets: Atlanta, Sacramento, Austin, Raleigh-Durham, Riverside-San Bernardino, Providence, Greensboro/Winston-Salem, Salt Lake City, Charlotte and Memphis.
|Annual Rent Growth Leaders as of 2Q 2019|
|Big Metros||Growth||Small Metros||Growth|
|Las Vegas, NV||8.8%||Wilmington, NC||7.4%|
|Phoenix, AZ||8.1%||Tucson, AZ||7.1%|
|Atlanta, GA||4.7%||Huntsville, AL||6.4%|
|Sacramento, CA||4.7%||Santa Maria, CA||6.2%|
|Austin, TX||4.6%||Pensacola, FL||6.0%|
|Raleigh-Durham, NC||4.6%||Gainesville, FL||5.9%|
|Riverside-San Bernardino, CA||4.5%||Boise, ID||5.8%|
|Providence, RI||4.4%||Manchester-Nashua, NH||5.7%|
|Greensboro/Winston-Salem, NC||4.3%||Stockton, CA||5.6%|
|Salt Lake City, UT||4.1%||Reno, NV||5.3%|
|Charlotte, NC||4.0%||Bakersfield, CA||5.1%|
|Memphis, TN||3.9%||Deltona-Daytona Beach, FL||5.1%|
|Source: RealPage, Inc.|
Houston’s performance is the weakest among big metros, with rents in the second quarter up only 0.1 percent from the pricing seen a year earlier. Slight rent cuts are occurring in a few small markets: Des Moines, Iowa; Fargo, N.D.; College Station, Texas; Baton Rouge, La.; and Santa Rosa, Calif.
Building in the U.S. apartment sector remains at three-decade highs. Market-rate apartment properties under construction contain more than 418,000 units that will be finished during roughly the next 18 months.
Dallas-Fort Worth remains the country’s leader in apartment construction activity. More than 34,000 apartments are on the way in North Texas, compared to about 20,000 units in Washington, D.C., the second-busiest metro for building. Near-term deliveries will run around 18,000 units in Los Angeles and Houston.
“While the apartment sector’s performance has been terrific of late, the amount of product under construction does point to some near-term risk,” according to Willett. “Most economists are anticipating a slowdown in economic growth, cooling support for housing demand. It would be tough to maintain price growth with so many new properties moving through initial lease-up at a time when demand has weakened.”
RealPage is a leading global provider of software and data analytics to the real estate industry. Clients use its platform to improve operating performance and increase capital returns. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Richardson, Texas, RealPage serves more than 12,100 clients worldwide from offices in North America, Europe and Asia. For more information about the company, visit https://www.realpage.com.