San Diego Rent Growth Tops Rises in Other Southern California Metros
DALLAS, March 21, 2001 – San Diego renters are facing some of the sharpest
rent increases in the nation. Average monthly rents in the San Diego metro
soared 13.5 percent between December 1999 and December 2000, according to M/PF
Research’s San Diego Apartment Report for 2000’s 4th quarter.
San Diego’s rents, averaging $1,015 per month as of December 2000, are rising
far faster than the metro’s pace of overall price inflation of 4.7 percent. The
metro’s rent growth performance also was the strongest across the Southern
California region, slightly outpacing rent increases in Los Angeles and Orange
County and almost doubling the upturn in the Inland Empire.
Same-store price increases – measuring change at the same group of properties
from 4th quarter 1999 to 4th quarter 2000 – reached 11 percent in Los Angeles,
11.4 percent in Orange County and 7 percent in the Inland Empire.Robust rent
growth also occurred in the San Francisco Bay/Silicon Valley area, Boston and
Washington, D.C., while most of the rest of the country experienced average
same-store rent growth between 4 and 5 percent, the M/PF report says.
While deliveries in the San Diego increased significantly during recent
months, the apartment market saw demand well outpace completions throughout
2000. Completions in the year-ending 4th quarter 2000 totaled 4,058 units, the
largest block of new supply delivered during the past decade. Net move-ins over
the past year climbed to 7,450 units, the highest annual metro total in recent
history. Net move-ins during the October-December timeframe totaled 980
units.
“A big factor in the rising demand is that product
availability increased significantly in the past year, when completions nearly
doubled the new supply that came online in 1999,” said M/PF Research editorial
director Greg Willett. “More than
one-third of San Diego’s new product completed during the past year came on
stream in the popular I-5 corridor submarkets of La Jolla/University City and
Northwest San Diego/Encinitas. However,
meaningful blocks of new supply also were delivered in the North County city of
Carlsbad and in the desirable Mission Valley area north of
downtown.”
With demand outstripping completions throughout recent years, occupancy now
is about as tight as it can get in most neighborhoods. The metro’s average
occupancy reached 98.1 percent in December 2000, up 1.4 points from the
year-earlier level. For comparison, apartment occupancy across the U.S. averaged
96 percent as of the 4th quarter. Apartments in each of the 12 San Diego
submarkets registered essentially full occupancy of 95 percent or greater, while
10 submarkets posted occupancy rates exceeding 97 percent.
Apartment completions in metro San Diego will climb during the near term, as
ongoing construction totaled 4,235 units as of January 2001, including 2,757
apartments scheduled for completion by the end of 2001. The 1-5 corridor cities,
as well as the more centrally located neighborhoods of the San Diego area all
should witness construction.
San Diego Apartment Market Profile 4th Quarter 2000
|
| Annual Employment Growth |
23,300 jobs |
| Annual Apartment Completions |
4,058 units |
| Annual Apartment Demand |
7,450 units |
Average Occupancy Change in Past Year |
98.1 percent 1.4 points |
Average Quoted Rent Change in Same-Store Rents |
$1,015 per month 13.5 percent |
M/PF’s San Diego Apartment Report is a quarterly report that includes
data and analysis addressing the local economy and trends in apartment demand,
supply, occupancy and rents. Information is summarized on the metro level and
detailed for 12 submarkets.
Since 1961, M/PF Research has been the trusted national expert in apartment
market research. M/PF is retained by investors, developers, owners and lenders
to prepare project-specific market studies and to produce broader, strategic
market selection analyses and reports. M/PF Research, located in Carrollton,
Texas, is a wholly owned subsidiary of RealPage, Inc., a leading provider of
property management software and web services.